EUR USD stabilizing around 1 3850 ~ forex trading tips videos
The intraday decline of the EUR/USD seems to have halted around the 1.3855/50 region at the end of the US session on Thursday.
EUR/USD hurt by Draghi
A more than expected dovish tone in todays press conference by President Draghi dragged spot from fresh ytd highs near the psychological barrier at 1.4000 to current weekly lows in the mid-1.3800s. The EUR reacted adversely after Draghi favoured some form of monetary easing in the central banks next meeting (June). In the context of his repeated mentioning of the exchange rate, we now believe the ECB will cut its refi rate by 15bp June, to be accompanied by a 15-45bp cut in the marginal lending rate and by several other measures to strengthen the effectiveness of this rate cut, commented Elwin de Groot, Senior Eurozone Strategist at Rabobank.
EUR/USD levels to watch
At the moment the pair is down 0.37% at 1.3857 and a breakdown of 1.3847 (21-d MA) would open the door to 1.3812 (low May 2) and then 1.3796 (daily cloud top). On the upside, the initial hurdle aligns at 1.3995 (2014 high May 8) ahead of 1.4000 (psychological level) and then 1.4100 (psychological level).
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